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Recent corporate governance woes at Satyam have taken a turn for the
worse. After the company's CEO Ramalinga Raju, resigned admitting to
massive irregularities in the company accounts, the impact on Satyam
has already been enormous and threatens its continued existence.
The Satyam Effect The
impact on the Satyam share price was immediate, with over 75% knocked
off the value of the company bringing the BSE Sensex down over 4% in a
chain reaction. Volumes of Satyam stock traded during the day were
enormous as investors bailed. The Indian technology market had already
been weakened by a tough 2008, and the badly dented broader market
sentiment is sure to impact adversely most other Indian IT services
providers. It will potentially even make a dent in the wider
international market.
In the short and medium term the hugely
deflated valuation of Satyam is likely to make it vulnerable to
takeover. Even before the news of these corporate governance issues
there was open market speculation that Satyam was either looking to
bulk up through acquisition or that it would be at the core of a merger
with rivals of similar scale. MindTree, HCL Technologies and Tech
Mahindra have all been mentioned among the rumours although the reality
of this gossip is currently impossible to gauge. Just like the Big Six
in the UK became the Big Four, so the Indian SWITCH (Satyam, Wipro,
Infosys, TCS, Cognizant, HCL) may become the WITCH.
Those who
bought into Satyam stock on the day of Raju's resignation are likely to
be hoping for a takeover bid that will drive up the price again.
However, it also possible that Satyam might find itself broken into
pieces and the pieces sold off separately. The expected fraud enquiry
could delay the inevitable but it is equally likely that it will
accelerate things, with criminal investigators and forensic accountants
working together to establish the real financial position and working
out what is in the best interests of the shareholders.
Corporate Governance Changes and Marketing Given
the events at Satyam, corporate governance will become top priority for
most executives even though it was already on the agenda for many IT
companies. As the credit crunch continues and price pressure on
contracts is increasing, suppliers were turning to less tangible
elements to differentiate their propositions. Corporate governance is
probably now a taboo theme for marketing to play with. For instance
Satyam was awarded the Golden Peacock award for corporate governance by
the World Council for Corporate Governance three months ago, making a
laughing stock of such accolades. Corporate governance problems
elsewhere, such as those at Enron, Worldcom, Global Crossing, Tyco,
Polly Peck and Parmalat, have typically brought strengthened regulation
and a tightening of the supervisory framework, resulting in legislation
such as the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Though the governance regime and
associated legislative frameworks vary from country to country, in this
case, the Indian government will re-examining its corporate government
framework, and make changes to strengthen it or at least to ensure the
existing frameworks are robustly implemented.
The scale of the
corporate governance hole here is difficult to overestimate. From a
cash and balance sheet perspective, Raju's letter to the board and the
stock exchanges where Satyam is listed declared that the real cash and
balance sheet was only 6% of the figure declared in September 2008.
Margins were 3% rather than the 24% claimed, and revenues were 22%
lower than the Rs. 27 billion that was declared. This is massive
Enronesque in scale.
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